Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop
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Company makes third cut to renewables organization outlook this year

Reduces both margin and volume outlook

Weaker diesel market hits biofuel rates

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By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto

HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel organization for the third time this year due to falling rates and also lowered its anticipated sales volumes, sending the business’s share price down 10%.

Neste stated a drop in the rate of regular diesel had actually impacted what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input expenses for waste and residue feedstock remained high.

A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to diesel has actually produced a supply glut of low-emissions biofuels, hammering profit margins for refiners and threatening to restrain the nascent market.

Neste in a declaration slashed the anticipated average comparable sales margin of its renewables system to between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, below $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well listed below the $600-$800 seen in February.

The business now also expects renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes rather of the 4.4 million it had actually anticipated because the start of the year, it included.

A part of the volume cut originated from the production of sustainable aviation fuel, of which it is now anticipated to sell in between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, below in between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen formerly, Neste said.

“Renewable items’ list prices have been negatively affected by a significant decline in (the) diesel cost throughout the third quarter,” Neste said in a statement.

“At the very same time, waste and residue feedstock prices have not reduced and eco-friendly item market value premiums have actually stayed weak,” the business added.

Industry executives and experts have stated quickly expanding Chinese biodiesel manufacturers are seeking brand-new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have announced they are pausing growth strategies in Europe.

While the cut in Neste’s assistance on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the unfavorable effect on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel cost was to be expected, Inderes expert Petri Gostowski said.

Neste’s share cost had actually reversed some losses by 1037 GMT but remained down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki