Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop
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Company makes third cut to renewables organization outlook this year

Reduces both margin and volume outlook

Weaker diesel market strikes biofuel costs

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By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto

HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel organization for the third time this year due to falling prices and likewise lowered its expected sales volumes, sending out the company’s share rate down 10%.

Neste stated a drop in the rate of regular diesel had actually affected what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input expenses for waste and residue feedstock remained high.

A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce sustainable diesel has developed a supply excess of low-emissions biofuels, hammering revenue margins for refiners and threatening to hinder the nascent industry.

Neste in a statement slashed the anticipated average comparable sales margin of its renewables system to in between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, down from $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well listed below the $600-$800 seen in February.

The business now also anticipates renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes instead of the 4.4 million it had actually anticipated given that the start of the year, it included.

A part of the volume cut came from the production of sustainable air travel fuel, of which it is now anticipated to offer in between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, down from in between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen previously, Neste stated.

“Renewable products’ prices have actually been adversely affected by a considerable decline in (the) diesel price during the third quarter,” Neste said in a statement.

“At the exact same time, waste and residue feedstock rates have not decreased and sustainable product market cost premiums have remained weak,” the business included.

Industry executives and analysts have said rapidly expanding Chinese biodiesel producers are looking for in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have revealed they are pausing growth plans in Europe.

While the cut in Neste’s guidance on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the negative effect on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel rate was to be anticipated, Inderes analyst Petri Gostowski said.

Neste’s share cost had reversed some losses by 1037 GMT however stayed down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki